ESPN Report: Matt Miller Believes Arch Manning Is a 2026 NFL Draft Prospect, Not 2027
In a recent ESPN report, NFL Draft analyst Matt Miller made waves by projecting Texas quarterback Arch Manning as a 2026 NFL Draft prospect rather than a 2027 one, sparking fresh conversation about the young signal-caller’s development and timeline. Manning, the former No. 1 overall recruit in the 2023 class, has long been considered one of the most intriguing quarterback prospects in college football. Now, Miller’s updated timeline adds a new layer of anticipation for his future.
According to Miller, Manning has the tools and pedigree to fast-track his college career and enter the NFL Draft after just three seasons at Texas. This would make him eligible for the 2026 Draft, assuming he declares after his redshirt sophomore or junior season. The shift in timeline comes as Manning continues to develop behind the scenes in Austin, with expectations that he’ll soon take over as the starting quarterback.
Miller cited Manning’s strong arm, football IQ, and composure as key reasons why he believes the young quarterback is tracking ahead of schedule. While he has yet to start a game for Texas, the buzz around his readiness continues to grow, especially as the Longhorns prepare for their SEC debut in the 2025 season. That campaign could serve as a critical proving ground for Manning.
“Arch has the talent to be a first-round quarterback, and everything we’re hearing from Texas indicates he’s progressing rapidly,” Miller said. “If he takes over the starting job in 2024 and performs well in 2025, there’s no reason he wouldn’t be considered a top 2026 prospect.”
Originally, most projections placed Manning on a 2027 NFL Draft trajectory, aligning with the typical three-year collegiate development cycle for quarterbacks. However, Miller’s evaluation challenges that assumption, arguing that Manning may not need the full four years of eligibility to show NFL scouts he’s ready. This shift in timeline hinges on Manning’s playing time and performance over the next two seasons.
Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian has been deliberate with Manning’s development, allowing him time to adjust to the college game while learning behind Quinn Ewers. With Ewers expected to enter the 2025 NFL Draft, Manning is the frontrunner to take over the offense, putting him on a spotlighted stage in the SEC.
The 2025 season could be a crucial showcase for Manning’s draft stock, especially against the rigorous competition of the SEC. If he leads Texas to success and displays poise and productivity, NFL evaluators could view him as one of the top quarterback prospects in the 2026 class. For a player with his last name and legacy, the expectations will be sky-high.
Miller also noted that quarterback-needy teams are already keeping tabs on underclassmen with elite potential, and Manning is firmly on that radar. His ties to the Manning football dynasty — as the nephew of Peyton and Eli and grandson of Archie — only intensify the spotlight and scrutiny, but Miller believes Arch is prepared to handle it.
From a physical tools standpoint, Manning checks nearly every box: size, mechanics, arm strength, and mobility. What scouts will want to see in 2025 is his ability to lead a program, make NFL-level throws under pressure, and thrive in high-stakes games. If he can deliver, the 2026 Draft could be his ticket to the pros.
While much remains to be seen, Matt Miller’s projection underscores the growing belief in Arch Manning’s readiness to accelerate his journey. Should Manning claim the starting job and rise to the occasion, the narrative may shift fully from “when” to “how high” he’ll be drafted.
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